The $5,000 → $50,000 World Cup Challenge
Using prediction market edges — documented live.
$5,000
$5,000 start$50,000 target
10.0% of the way there
ROI: 0.0%Challenge starts June 1, 2026
Open Positions
Challenge opens June 1 — first positions will be logged here.
Methodology
Every bet is sized using the Kelly Criterion against a custom probability model. I track crowd biases (home-soil, reputation halo, recency) to find markets where Polymarket prices diverge from true probabilities. All trades are logged in real time — nothing is added retroactively.
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